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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
4 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 16 | 12 |
5 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | NEC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
10 | RKC Waalwijk | 5 | 2 | 6 |
11 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.01%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
83.01% ( 1.61) | 10.72% ( -0.81) | 6.27% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.65% ( 0.89) | 23.35% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.27% ( 1.2) | 42.73% ( -1.2) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.93% ( 0.4) | 4.07% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.9% ( 1.25) | 17.1% ( -1.26) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.39% ( -1.37) | 43.61% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.2% ( -1.16) | 79.8% ( 1.16) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
3-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.41) 5-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.29) 6-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.17) 5-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.17) 7-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) 6-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.87% Total : 83.01% | 1-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 10.72% | 1-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.84% Total : 6.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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