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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
19.99% ( 1.54) | 20.86% ( 0.88) | 59.14% ( -2.41) |
Both teams to score 58.92% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% ( -1.74) | 38.18% ( 1.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% ( -1.88) | 60.46% ( 1.88) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( 0.51) | 32.55% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( 0.57) | 69.08% ( -0.57) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.36% ( -1.2) | 12.64% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.22% ( -2.55) | 38.78% ( 2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.86% Total : 59.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |