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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
52.04% ( 0.67) | 22.38% ( -0.31) | 25.57% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.35% ( 1.11) | 38.65% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.04% ( 1.17) | 60.96% ( -1.17) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85% ( 0.63) | 15% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.55% ( 1.18) | 43.45% ( -1.18) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% ( 0.32) | 28.05% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% ( 0.4) | 63.71% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.04% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 25.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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