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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
48.77% ( -0.36) | 23.87% ( 0.28) | 27.36% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.95% ( -1.22) | 44.04% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.57% ( -1.2) | 66.43% ( 1.2) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( -0.6) | 18.18% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% ( -1.04) | 49.17% ( 1.04) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( -0.58) | 29.55% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( -0.71) | 65.57% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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