Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.