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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
47.71% ( 0) | 24.02% ( -0) | 28.27% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% ( 0) | 44.1% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.52% ( 0) | 66.48% ( -0) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0) | 18.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% ( 0) | 49.92% ( -0) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0) | 28.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( -0) | 64.8% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |