Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 22, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 1
Groningen

Sarr (5', 82'), van Amersfoort (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kruger (40')
van Gelderen (66'), Bech Sorensen (72'), Suslov (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Heerenveen 2-0 Groningen

Heerenveen might have struggled in their most recent performance, but they should head into this game as the clear favourites. The visitors are on a difficult run of form right now, and playing away from home is unlikely going to be the moment that all changes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Groningen
53.34% ( -0.25)	23.19% ( 0.05)	23.46% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.54% (

-0.04)

44.45% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.17% (

-0.03)

66.82% (

0.03)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

-0.1)

16.62% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

-0.18)

46.45% (

0.18)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

0.15)

32.89% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

0.17)

69.46% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 53.34%

Groningen 23.46%

Draw 23.19%

Heerenveen	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.46%