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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
61.28% ( 0.08) | 20.37% ( 0.04) | 18.34% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.53% ( -0.38) | 38.47% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.24% ( -0.41) | 60.76% ( 0.41) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0.09) | 12.12% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.3% ( -0.2) | 37.7% ( 0.2) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( -0.35) | 34.4% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( -0.38) | 71.11% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |