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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
61.28% ( 0.08) | 20.37% ( 0.04) | 18.34% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.53% ( -0.38) | 38.47% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.24% ( -0.41) | 60.76% ( 0.41) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0.09) | 12.12% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.3% ( -0.2) | 37.7% ( 0.2) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( -0.35) | 34.4% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( -0.38) | 71.11% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |