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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
50.26% ( -0.41) | 24.23% ( 0.16) | 25.51% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( -0.46) | 47.1% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( -0.43) | 69.34% ( 0.43) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% ( -0.34) | 18.77% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% ( -0.57) | 50.17% ( 0.57) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.4% ( -0.03) | 32.6% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.86% ( -0.04) | 69.14% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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