Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen2 - 4PSV
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 PSV
Sunday, March 19 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 19 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
NEC have established themselves as a real force to reckon with in front of their fans but this weekend's contest against a side of PSV's quality represents a tough assignment nonetheless. While we expect the hosts to put up a decent fight, we are tipping the visitors to carry the day come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 25.35% | 22.05% ( 0) | 52.59% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.73% ( 0) | 37.27% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.52% ( 0) | 59.48% ( 0) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0) | 27.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.03% | 62.97% ( 0) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 0) | 14.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0) | 42.17% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 25.35%
PSV Eindhoven 52.59%
Draw 22.05%
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.76% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 4.02% 1-4 @ 3.02% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.59% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs PSV
NEC
25.9%Draw
3.7%PSV Eindhoven
70.4%27
