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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
PSV

Nijmegen
2 - 4
PSV

Tannane (59', 87')
Marquez (45+3'), van Rooij (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
de Jong (7', 50'), Boscagli (21'), Veerman (39')
van Nistelrooy (25'), Gutierrez (85'), Ramalho (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 PSV
Sunday, March 19 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

NEC have established themselves as a real force to reckon with in front of their fans but this weekend's contest against a side of PSV's quality represents a tough assignment nonetheless. While we expect the hosts to put up a decent fight, we are tipping the visitors to carry the day come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
NECDrawPSV Eindhoven
25.35%22.05% (0.0020000000000024 0) 52.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)42.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 25.35%
    PSV Eindhoven 52.59%
    Draw 22.05%
NECDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 25.35%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 4.02%
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.17%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 52.59%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs PSV

NEC
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
PSV Eindhoven
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
3-0
Nijmegen
El Ghazi (18'), De Jong (50' pen.), Madueke (84')

Schone (38')
May 11, 2022 7pm
PSV
3-2
Nijmegen
Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)
Dec 12, 2021 7pm
Nijmegen
1-2
PSV
Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')
Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
PSV
3-1
Nijmegen
Van Ginkel (20' pen.), Ramselaar (56'), De Jong (94')
van Ginkel (22')
Messaoud (30')
Bikel (20')
Sep 10, 2016 6.45pm
Nijmegen
0-4
PSV

Dumic (16')
Ramselaar (4'), Pereiro (10'), Brenet (20'), De Jong (24')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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