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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.08%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
54.08% ( 0.01) | 22.03% ( -0) | 23.88% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.48% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( 0.01) | 38.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% ( 0.01) | 60.99% ( -0.01) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( 0.01) | 14.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.8% ( 0.01) | 42.19% ( -0.01) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0) | 29.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( -0) | 65.37% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
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