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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.08%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
54.08% ( 0.01) | 22.03% ( -0) | 23.88% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.48% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( 0.01) | 38.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% ( 0.01) | 60.99% ( -0.01) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( 0.01) | 14.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.8% ( 0.01) | 42.19% ( -0.01) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0) | 29.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( -0) | 65.37% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |