Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Sittard
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-1 FC Utrecht
Utrecht arguably boast the better of the two squads, but NEC's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be far from a straightforward affair. We are backing the teams to go toe to toe over the course of the 90 minutes and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
46.93% ( 0.68) | 23.6% ( 0.34) | 29.47% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
