Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Sittard
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-1 FC Utrecht
Utrecht arguably boast the better of the two squads, but NEC's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be far from a straightforward affair. We are backing the teams to go toe to toe over the course of the 90 minutes and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
46.93% ( 0.68) | 23.6% ( 0.34) | 29.47% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( -2.18) | 41.41% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( -2.25) | 63.81% ( 2.25) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.58) | 17.88% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.33% ( -1.01) | 48.66% ( 1.01) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -1.74) | 26.73% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38% ( -2.35) | 61.99% ( 2.35) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 46.93%
FC Utrecht 29.47%
Draw 23.59%
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.47% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs Utrecht
NEC
37.5%Draw
31.3%FC Utrecht
31.3%32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
0-0
Nijmegen
van der Kust (40')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
Mar 18, 2017 6.45pm
