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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
25.33% ( -0.28) | 22.99% ( 0.09) | 51.67% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% ( -0.65) | 41.73% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.87% ( -0.66) | 64.13% ( 0.66) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% ( -0.56) | 29.87% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( -0.69) | 65.96% ( 0.68) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.17) | 16.23% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.26% ( -0.31) | 45.74% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |