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FC Utrecht
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Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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NEC
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Waalwijk logo
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Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 3
Nijmegen

Anita (61')
Oukili (29'), Vaessen (46')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Elkarouani (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 PSV
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 12 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 NEC

NEC boast arguably the better of the two squads, but Waalwijk's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be anything but straightforward. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and come away with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
49.77% (0.067 0.07) 23.42% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.81% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)42.42% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.073 -0.07)64.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)29.11% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.111 -0.11)65.04% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 49.77%
    NEC 26.81%
    Draw 23.42%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
45.5%
Draw
22.7%
NEC
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Bel Hassani (11')
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
May 10, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
Nijmegen
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tresor Ndayishimiye (12'), Bruijn (16')
Bossaerts (21'), Wolters (67')

Walian (87'), Spierings (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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