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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
41.03% | 26.27% | 32.7% |
Both teams to score 52.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% | 51.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% | 73.62% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% | 24.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% | 59.58% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% | 29.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% | 65.88% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |