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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
13.04% | 17.84% | 69.11% |
Both teams to score 53.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.6% | 37.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.38% | 59.62% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% | 40.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% | 77.07% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.21% | 9.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.45% | 32.55% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.77% 1-0 @ 3.59% 2-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.04% | 1-1 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.38% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.84% | 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 7.5% 0-4 @ 4.81% 1-4 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-5 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.97% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.05% Total : 69.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |