Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
