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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
80.2% | 12.63% | 7.18% |
Both teams to score 50.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.85% | 30.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.62% | 51.39% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.2% | 5.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.69% | 22.31% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.21% | 46.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.68% | 82.32% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-0 @ 11% 3-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 7.44% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 4.24% 5-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 2.15% 6-0 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.24% Total : 80.18% | 1-1 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 3.17% 0-0 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.88% Total : 12.63% | 1-2 @ 2.23% 0-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 7.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |