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Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 2
Almere City

Neghli (49'), Clement (55')
Clement (36'), Eerdhuijzen (90+3')
Eerdhuijzen (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Robinet (8'), Reith (10' og.)
Kadile (32'), Ritmeester van de Kamp (83'), Carbonell (90+3'), Visus (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 Willem II
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Almere City

Almere City have been poor at both ends of the pitch, and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result from Saturday's affair.   We are backing Sparta to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin in what should be a nervy and cagey clash in Rotterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAlmere City
60.42% (0.557 0.56) 21.19% (-0.096 -0.1) 18.39% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.82% (-0.305 -0.31)42.18% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (-0.307 -0.31)64.58% (0.30500000000001 0.31)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (0.069999999999993 0.07)13.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.4% (0.14100000000001 0.14)40.6% (-0.142 -0.14)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.684 -0.68)36.56% (0.681 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.694 -0.69)73.34% (0.69199999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 60.42%
    Almere City 18.39%
    Draw 21.19%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.184 0.18)
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.32% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 60.42%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.19%
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 18.39%

How you voted: Sparta vs Almere City

Sparta Rotterdam
92.0%
Draw
4.0%
Almere City
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Almere City
2-3
Sparta
Cathline (5'), Robinet (87')
Floranus (40'), Resink (58'), Koopmeiners (66')
Lauritsen (19'), Van der Kust (28'), Verschueren (88')
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sparta
1-2
Almere City
Kitolano (84')
Robinet (12'), Hansen (76')
Mar 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 29
Almere City
1-3
Sparta
Loen (26')
Mirani (92')
Rayhi (12'), Ache (51'), Duarte (85')
Auassar (37'), Faye (74')
Dec 7, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 17
Sparta
6-1
Almere City
Rayhi (9'), Veldwijk (38', 62', 88'), Wuytens (48'), Dervisoglu (90')
Vriends (21'), Duarte (30'), Auassar (49')
Wuytens (21' og.)
Receveur (47'), Ramos (74')
Ramos (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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