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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
29.19% ( 0.06) | 24.05% ( 0.18) | 46.75% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( -0.78) | 43.67% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% ( -0.77) | 66.06% ( 0.77) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% ( -0.35) | 28.05% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% ( -0.45) | 63.71% ( 0.45) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( -0.41) | 18.84% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( -0.68) | 50.28% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |