Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 2
Almere City

Kitolano (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Robinet (12'), Hansen (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Almere City

On the back of holding fifth-placed Go Ahead Eagles, Almere have nothing to fear ahead of this encounter. However, we are backing Sparta to come through with a professional win, one which could move them into fifth position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Almere City
38.95% ( -1.39)	23.99% ( -0.04)	37.06% ( 1.43)

Both teams to score 61.5% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.18% (

0.34)

40.82% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.79% (

0.34)

63.21% (

-0.34)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-0.51)

21.11% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05% (

-0.8)

53.94% (

0.81)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

0.9)

22.04% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

1.34)

55.37% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 38.95%

Almere City 37.06%

Draw 23.98%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.95%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.06%