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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
46.38% ( -5.83) | 25.24% ( 1.07) | 28.39% ( 4.77) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% ( -0.82) | 49.34% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.61% ( -0.75) | 71.39% ( 0.75) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -2.74) | 21.29% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.77% ( -4.42) | 54.22% ( 4.42) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( 3.45) | 31.54% ( -3.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( 3.8) | 67.93% ( -3.79) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -1.03) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.44) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.58) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.89) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.89) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.47) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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