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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.91% ( 0.15) | 21.67% ( -0.15) | 14.42% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.85% ( 0.55) | 51.15% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27% ( 0.48) | 73% ( -0.48) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( 0.23) | 15.37% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( 0.44) | 44.15% ( -0.44) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.98% ( 0.33) | 47.01% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.5% ( 0.25) | 82.49% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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