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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
50.95% | 23.1% | 25.95% |
Both teams to score 58.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.32% | 41.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% | 64.09% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% | 16.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.82% | 46.18% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% | 29.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% | 65.36% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-1 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.27% Total : 25.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |