MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 11:12:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
May 29, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Vitesse

AZ
6 - 1
Vitesse

Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), de Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse

The onus is firmly on AZ to take control of proceedings as they seek to overhaul a first-leg deficit, and while we expect an open and end-to-end affair, we are also backing the hosts to carry the day and book their place in the Conference League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
58.26% (1.375 1.38) 22.17% (-0.401 -0.4) 19.57% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.433 0.43)44.77% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.415 0.41)67.13% (-0.408 -0.41)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.60600000000001 0.61)15.07% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (1.128 1.13)43.58% (-1.12 -1.12)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.751 -0.75)36.8% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.757 -0.76)73.59% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 58.25%
    Vitesse 19.57%
    Draw 22.17%
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.57%

How you voted: AZ vs Vitesse

AZ Alkmaar
80.4%
Draw
7.8%
Vitesse
11.8%
51
Head to Head
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Mar 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')
Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')
Dec 23, 2020 3.30pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Karlsson (5'), Boadu (40'), Druijf (75')
Openda (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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