MX23RW : Monday, November 25 01:06:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
May 29, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Vitesse

AZ
6 - 1
Vitesse

Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), de Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse

The onus is firmly on AZ to take control of proceedings as they seek to overhaul a first-leg deficit, and while we expect an open and end-to-end affair, we are also backing the hosts to carry the day and book their place in the Conference League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
58.26% (1.375 1.38) 22.17% (-0.401 -0.4) 19.57% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.433 0.43)44.77% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.415 0.41)67.13% (-0.408 -0.41)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.60600000000001 0.61)15.07% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (1.128 1.13)43.58% (-1.12 -1.12)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.751 -0.75)36.8% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.757 -0.76)73.59% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 58.25%
    Vitesse 19.57%
    Draw 22.17%
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.57%

How you voted: AZ vs Vitesse

AZ Alkmaar
80.4%
Draw
7.8%
Vitesse
11.8%
51
Head to Head
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Mar 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')
Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')
Dec 23, 2020 3.30pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Karlsson (5'), Boadu (40'), Druijf (75')
Openda (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2FC UtrechtUtrecht12101122121031
3Ajax1292127111629
4Feyenoord1384131131828
5FC Twente1374226121425
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1362525151020
7Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen135172012816
10Willem II134451514116
11NAC BredaNAC Breda135171423-916
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle133371424-1012
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta132561320-711
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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