

AZ6 - 1Vitesse
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse
The onus is firmly on AZ to take control of proceedings as they seek to overhaul a first-leg deficit, and while we expect an open and end-to-end affair, we are also backing the hosts to carry the day and book their place in the Conference League playoffs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
58.26% (![]() | 22.17% (![]() | 19.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% (![]() | 44.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% (![]() | 67.13% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% (![]() | 15.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.42% (![]() | 43.58% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% (![]() | 36.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% (![]() | 73.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 10.49% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.25% | 1-1 @ 10.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.54% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.69% Total : 19.57% |