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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
58.26% ( 1.38) | 22.17% ( -0.4) | 19.57% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.43) | 44.77% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.41) | 67.13% ( -0.41) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( 0.61) | 15.07% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.42% ( 1.13) | 43.58% ( -1.12) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% ( -0.75) | 36.8% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% ( -0.76) | 73.59% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.25% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.69% Total : 19.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |