We said: Vitesse 3-2 Sparta Rotterdam
These sides have already faced each other on two occasions this season, with Vitesse prevailing in a cup contest, while the reverse league encounter finished in a 2-2 draw.
Although Sparta Rotterdam have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, Vitesse carry momentum into this game, and we think that they will prove too strong for the visitors on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.