Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.