Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 2-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
