Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.