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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
34.37% | 25.29% | 40.33% |
Both teams to score 56.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% | 47.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% | 69.51% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% | 26.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% | 23.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% | 57.18% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 8.19% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.37% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |