Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
