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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
34.31% | 26.25% | 39.43% |
Both teams to score 53.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.55% | 51.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.74% | 73.26% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% | 28.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% | 64.36% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% | 25.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.52% | 60.48% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |