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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
40.75% | 27.31% | 31.93% |
Both teams to score 49.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% | 56.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% | 77.22% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% | 27.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% | 62.43% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% | 32.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.97% | 69.02% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |