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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
45.59% | 27.29% | 27.11% |
Both teams to score 46.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.02% | 57.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.32% | 78.67% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% | 25.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% | 60.18% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.85% | 37.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% | 73.93% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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