MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:49:08| >> :60:1025:1025:
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
Excelsior

Heracles
1 - 3
SBV Excelsior

Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: Heracles 2-0 SBV Excelsior

The onus is firmly on the home side to take control of proceedings as they set out to make up a three-goal deficit. While we expect them to come out on top in this one, we can see them just falling short on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
46.54% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.38% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.08% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)17.5% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-0.328 -0.33)48% (0.329 0.33)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.282 0.28)25.65% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.384 0.38)60.54% (-0.383 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 46.54%
    SBV Excelsior 30.08%
    Draw 23.38%
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Heracles vs SBV Excelsior

Heracles
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
SBV Excelsior
33.3%
12
Head to Head
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Heracles
4-5
SBV Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
SBV Excelsior
2-2
Heracles
Messaoud (7'), Van Duinen (51' pen.)
Messaoud (58'), de Wijs (93')
Monteiro (92', 94')
Droste (7')
van Ooijen (49')
Aug 26, 2017 7.45pm
Heracles
2-2
SBV Excelsior
Kuwas (15'), Gladon (52')
Propper (10')
Bruins (16'), Caenepeel (63')
Bruins (43'), Koolwijk (90')
Hadouir (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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