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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
88.49% | 8.03% | 3.47% |
Both teams to score 43.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.22% | 23.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.67% | 43.33% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.65% | 3.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.28% | 14.72% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.47% | 54.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.4% | 87.6% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
3-0 @ 11.95% 2-0 @ 10.54% 4-0 @ 10.16% 3-1 @ 7.25% 5-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.4% 1-0 @ 6.2% 4-1 @ 6.16% 5-1 @ 4.19% 6-0 @ 3.92% 6-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.2% 7-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.04% Total : 88.49% | 1-1 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 1.94% 0-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.51% Total : 8.03% | 1-2 @ 1.14% 0-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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