Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.