Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ2 - 0Santa Coloma
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cheryshev (46'), Toribio (78')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Santa Coloma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 5-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, August 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, August 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
76.79% ( -1.09) | 14.31% ( 0.62) | 8.9% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
