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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
AZ Alkmaar

Nijmegen
0 - 3
AZ


Kramer (22'), Schone (42')
Proper (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Karlsson (28', 50'), Clasie (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 4-0 Nijmegen
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 0-1 West Ham
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: NEC 0-3 AZ Alkmaar

 AZ Alkmaar are no longer in the Europa Conference League, meaning they will be fully focussed on trying to reach the Europa League via their final position in the Eredivisie, and we expect them to get the job done on Sunday. NEC have totally fallen apart at completely the wrong stage of the season, and they have been very poor at home for quite some time, meaning it would not be a surprise if the visitors win by a comfortable margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
NECDrawAZ Alkmaar
35.12% (0.598 0.6) 25.07% (0.164 0.16) 39.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.657 -0.66)46.16% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (-0.625 -0.63)68.45% (0.616 0.62)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.049999999999997 0.05)60.41% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.672 -0.67)23.03% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.992 -0.99)56.84% (0.984 0.98)
Score Analysis
    NEC 35.12%
    AZ Alkmaar 39.8%
    Draw 25.06%
NECDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.8%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs AZ

NEC
18.2%
Draw
0.0%
AZ Alkmaar
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7pm
gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (57')
de Wit (31')
Marquez (54')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 23
Nijmegen
1-3
AZ
Guth (44')
Karlsson (8', 70'), Evjen (76')
Vindahl Jensen (42')
Nov 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 11
AZ
1-1
Nijmegen
Aboukhlal (90+2')
Martins Indi (85')
Bruijn (9')
May 7, 2017 1.30pm
Nijmegen
2-1
AZ
Von Haacke (30'), Awoniyi (89')
Danjuma (63'), Awoniyi (89')
Jahanbakhsh (43')
Wuytens (50'), Jahanbakhsh (82')
Haps (60')
Aug 28, 2016 3.45pm
AZ
2-0
Nijmegen
Dos Santos (44'), Jahanbakhsh (73')
dos Santos (52')

von Haacke (33')
von Haacke (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306
> Eredivisie Full Table


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