MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:35:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles

AZ
5 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Clasie (4'), Pavlidis (15'), van Bommel (51'), de Wit (87' pen.), Lahdo (90+3')
de Wit (16'), Hatzidiakos (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rommens (66')
Amofa (2'), Nauber (34'), Deijl (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles

 AZ Alkmaar amassed 27 more points than Go Ahead Eagles last season, and they have a very impressive recent record against their opponents, winning the last five matches on the spin. As such, we expect Jansen's side to record a comfortable victory on Sunday afternoon, kicking off their Eredivisie campaign in perfect fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGo Ahead Eagles
60.16% (-1.599 -1.6) 20.64% (0.264 0.26) 19.2% (1.331 1.33)
Both teams to score 58.33% (1.646 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (0.964 0.96)38.31% (-0.969 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (1.017 1.02)60.59% (-1.022 -1.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.155 -0.16)12.39% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (-0.32 -0.32)38.26% (0.315 0.31)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.991 1.99)33.41% (-1.995 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (2.124 2.12)70.04% (-2.129 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 60.16%
    Go Ahead Eagles 19.2%
    Draw 20.64%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.271 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.64%
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.289 0.29)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Go Ahead Eagles
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Thor Willumsson (90+2' pen.)
Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Pavlidis (70'), Van Brederode (86')
de Wit (80')

Adekanye (72')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 20
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Brouwers (25')
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
5-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Karlsson (4', 83' pen.), De Wit (29'), Aboukhlal (86'), Reijnders (90+1')
de Wit (51'), Pavlidis (58')

Hahn (82'), Deijl (90'), Nauber (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2017 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
1-3
AZ
Antonia (89' pen.)
Achenteh (81')
Weghorst (69'), Jahanbakhsh (85', 93')
Jahanbakhsh (81'), Weghorst (81'), Johansson (88'), Bel Hassani (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414
> Eredivisie Full Table


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