Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 5Legia
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Caernarfon Town and Legia Warsaw.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Legia 6-0 Caernarfon
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
16.6% ( -0.52) | 20.16% ( -0.37) | 63.24% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
