Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia6 - 0Caernarfon
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Legia Warsaw and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Caernarfon (7-8 pen.)
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
68.96% ( 0.07) | 17.27% ( -0.06) | 13.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
