MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:26:33| >> :600:2142806:2142806:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
6 - 0
Caernarfon

Gual (22', 48', 53'), McMullan (44' og.), Kramer (71'), Goncalves (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mendes (33'), Mooney (67')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Legia Warsaw and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Caernarfon (7-8 pen.)
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawCaernarfon Town
68.96% (0.069999999999993 0.07) 17.27% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 13.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.24% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (0.265 0.27)32.68% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.64% (0.302 0.3)54.36% (-0.299 -0.3)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.4% (0.085999999999999 0.09)8.59% (-0.081099999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.31% (0.203 0.2)29.69% (-0.198 -0.2)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (0.16 0.16)36.28% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.162 0.16)73.07% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 68.96%
    Caernarfon Town 13.78%
    Draw 17.27%
Legia WarsawDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 68.96%
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.27%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 13.78%

How you voted: Legia vs Caernarfon

Legia Warsaw
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Caernarfon Town
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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