MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:48:42| >> :600:216735:216735:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 0
Haka

Heatley (73')
Forsythe (18'), Winchester (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sihvonen (22'), Lescano (32')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Haka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haka 2-2 Crusaders
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Haka 2-2 Crusaders
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Haka had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawHaka
37.63% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 25.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05)59.25% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Haka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)25.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 37.63%
    Haka 37%
    Draw 25.37%
CrusadersDrawHaka
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Haka

Crusaders
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Haka
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Haka
2-2
Crusaders
Rogerson (33' pen.), Fofana (36')
Fofana (56'), Laine (65')
Laine (66')
Forsythe (22'), Clarke (68')
Larmour (30'), Heatley (54')
rhs 2.0
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