Floriana

0 - 1

Guimaraes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Floriana had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Floriana win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.