Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
47
Last Game: Braga 4-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Braga
Both teams have gone through slight wobbles in recent weeks and while Vitoria have been so strong at home this season, Braga have also been hard to beat when playing on the road. For those reasons, we believe that these two sides are incredibly evenly matched and expect this one to end in a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
36.45% ( -0.27) | 25.36% ( 0.02) | 38.19% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
