We said: Gent 2-1 Molde
Gent will be frustrated after being forced to share the points with Shamrock Rovers last week and should be very motivated to secure the win required to qualify for the knockout stages.
Molde know they only need a draw to advance the next round of the Europa Conference League, but after a capitulation at home to Djurgardens last week the occasion may get the better of the Norwegian side once again in this crucial match in Belgium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Gent had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.8%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.