Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.