Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laci win with a probability of 39%. A win for Iskra had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laci win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Iskra win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Laci would win this match.