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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
2 - 0
Dila

Ikaunieks (32'), Vayrynen (90+1' pen.)
Bispo (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mosiashvili (17'), Gagnidze (20'), Santos (31')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and Dila.

Form, Standings, Stats

KuPS

Last Six:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 KuPS
Saturday, July 2 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Dila

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dila 2-1 Zilina
    Thursday, July 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Dila had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

    The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Dila win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

    Result
    KuPSDrawDila
    49.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 23.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.87% (0.052 0.05)
    Both teams to score 58.67% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.5% (0.108 0.11)42.5% (-0.106 -0.11)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    35.09% (0.10700000000001 0.11)64.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
    KuPS Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.45% (0.047000000000004 0.05)47.55% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
    Dila Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    70.89% (0.096000000000004 0.1)29.11% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    34.96% (0.115 0.12)65.04% (-0.113 -0.11)
    Score Analysis
        KuPS 49.68%
        Dila 26.87%
        Draw 23.44%
    KuPSDrawDila
    2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
    2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
    3-1 @ 5.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 3.46% (0.011 0.01)
    4-1 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    4-0 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
    4-2 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
    Other @ 3.95%
    Total : 49.68%
    		1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
    2-2 @ 5.91% (0.013 0.01)
    0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
    3-3 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
    Other @ 0.21%
    Total : 23.44%
    		1-2 @ 6.72% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
    0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    1-3 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
    2-3 @ 2.43% (0.012 0.01)
    0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
    Other @ 3.37%
    Total : 26.87%

    How you voted: KuPS vs Dila

    KuPS
    90.0%
    Draw
    10.0%
    Dila
    0.0%
    10
    rhs 2.0
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