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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Aris

Neftchi Baku
3 - 0
Aris

Donyoh (38'), Silvestre (57'), Saief (62')
Salahli (25'), Stankovic (32'), Yusifli (90+2'), Lawal (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szoke (4'), Brorsson (6'), Brown (40'), Delmiro (59'), Shpilevsky (88')
Brown (82')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi Baku

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aris 2-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Aris Thessaloniki

Last Six:
    Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
    Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.

    Result
    Neftchi BakuDrawAris Thessaloniki
    36.82% (0.275 0.27) 27.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 35.74% (-0.288 -0.29)
    Both teams to score 49.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    43.87% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)56.12% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    22.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)77.19% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
    Neftchi Baku Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    70.69% (0.148 0.15)29.3% (-0.154 -0.15)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    34.73% (0.182 0.18)65.27% (-0.18799999999999 -0.19)
    Aris Thessaloniki Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    70.03% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)29.97% (0.194 0.19)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.91% (-0.24 -0.24)66.08% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
    Score Analysis
        Neftchi Baku 36.82%
        Aris Thessaloniki 35.73%
        Draw 27.43%
    Neftchi BakuDrawAris Thessaloniki
    1-0 @ 10.78% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
    2-1 @ 7.97% (0.035 0.04)
    2-0 @ 6.62% (0.064 0.06)
    3-1 @ 3.26% (0.028 0.03)
    3-0 @ 2.71% (0.037 0.04)
    3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
    4-1 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
    Other @ 2.52%
    Total : 36.82%
    		1-1 @ 12.98%
    0-0 @ 8.78% (0.012 0.01)
    2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    Other @ 0.87%
    Total : 27.43%
    		0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
    1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 6.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
    1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
    0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
    2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
    Other @ 2.37%
    Total : 35.73%

    Head to Head
    Jul 21, 2022 6.30pm
    Aris
    2-0
    Neftchi Baku
    Caju (53'), Gomis (66')
    Brorsson (24')

    Saief (31'), Donyoh (82')
    rhs 2.0
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